Can Trump close the gap and win in November? Here’s what data from betting sites suggests


It’s gospel among Trump supporters that public polls systematically understate the millions of Americans who will vote for the president on November 3. If that’s the case, then the probability President Trump will prevail should advance to 50-50, or even show him in the lead, if he’s still trailing but pulls within a couple of points of Joe Biden.

One way to test the “if Trump gets close he wins” hypothesis is to examine whether the odds on political betting sites do indeed rate the contest a toss-up when Trump goes from lagging by a furlong to within a few meters, turning what looks like a romp into a horse race. That data could provide a guide to how much of the current gap the president must close to get a good shot at victory on Nov. 3.

The odds offered on the betting sites are arguably the best guide to handicapping the outcome. That’s because those odds are set by people putting “skin in the game” by risking their own money––including professional political gamblers who carefully study voting patterns and shifts in momentum. There’s no better estimate of Notre Dame’s or the Dallas Cowboys’ chances of beating a point spread than the odds posted at the casinos or online digital sports betting venues. The gamblers can be wrong in presidential elections, as in 2016, but in general, the dollars shifting from blue to red and back should be an excellent bellwether for where voters are headed.

Gambling on U.S. elections is mostly banned stateside. The only major site approved to run a political futures market in the U.S. is Predicit. But sundry online gambling sites in Europe are offering lines on the contest for the White House. They include Betfair, Bovada, SMarkets and SpreadEx, all of the U.K., bwin of Austria, Betsson of Sweden and Unibet of Austria. In recent weeks, the action’s been terrific. Paul Krishnamurty, a professional gambler and freelance writer who pens insightful analysis on presidential gaming, notes in a recent post that Betfair saw over $25 million wagered on U.S. elections the week ended Oct. 16, equivalent to 15% of the total placed over the past four years.

RealClear Politics publishes a daily average of nine of the latest postings from the major sites. (Predictit isn’t included in that measure; more on that shortly.) For this analysis, I’m using that data alongside the RealClear Politics average of polls for the five swing states that most experts reckon will decide the election, Pennsylvania, Florida, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Arizona. So let’s look at how our leading indicator––those betting odds––have moved as Trump’s poll numbers have waxed and waned, and what that tells us about the gap he must shrink to stand a chance on Election Day.

Ups and downs

From July 21 to Aug. 23, Biden led Trump by substantial margins of between 4 and 6 points in the swing states. Trump’s odds of victory, as shown on the betting sites, toggled between 36.1% and 43.4%. In other words, the president looked like a loser, as he trailed Biden’s odds by at least 16 percentage points during that monthlong interlude. But starting the last week in August, Trump went on a tear. The virtual Republican convention hosted from Aug. 24 to 27 appeared to give Trump a big boost. By Aug. 29, he’d narrowed Biden’s lead from 4 points two weeks before to 2.7, and he clung that close through Sept. 1. On that date, Trump posted his best odds of the entire election cycle, as measured by betting sites, hitting 49.5% and pulling within .5% of the former Vice President.

The bump was short-lived. By Sept. 10, Biden had regained a 3.9-point edge in the polls, and he maintained a lead in the high-3’s and 4’s before peaking at a 5-point advantage on Oct. 11. The rise in Trump’s polling deficit from 2.7 to 5 points mirrored a steep drop in his odds, which cratered from the 49.5% summit at the start of September to 34.7%. That made Biden a two-to-one favorite to take the White House.

The road to the White House took still another surprise turn on Oct. 12. Trump emerged from his bout with COVID sporting an air of triumph, and jumped back on the campaign trail, hosting a raucous rally that evening in Stanford, Fla. The sight of the president healthy and recharged for combat gave his poll numbers their second big lift in seven weeks. By Oct. 19, Trump had cut Biden’s swing state lead from 5 to 3.9 points. His odds followed his polls, jumping from the late Oct. 11 near-low of 34.7%, to 40.3%. (They shrank to 38.7% the next day, but the polling gap held at 3.9%.)

It’s perhaps prophetic that Trump’s ups and down in the polls appear to trigger more or less predictable gains and losses in his odds. The rise in his polling gap of 2.3 points, from 2.7% to 5%, between Sept. 1 and Oct. 11 caused his odds to retreat from 49.5% to 34.7%, or 14.8 points. For every 1 point his deficit grew, his odds dropped by 6.4 points. Similarly, his just-over-one-point move from a 5% to 3.9% deficit in the following eight days brought a rise in his betting line from 34.7% to 40.3%, or 5.6 points. So it’s likely that a one-point shrinkage in Trump’s swing-state polling gap increases his probability of winning of around 6 points.

Shrinking the edge

Trump’s odds of clinching reelection now stand at around 40%. By our formula, to gain the extra 10-plus points needed to take the lead on the betting sites, he would need to shrink Biden’s edge at the polls by around 1.6 points, taking him from 3.9 to 2.3 points behind. Keep in mind that on September 1, Trump’s odds trailed Biden’s by just a hair when he lagged by his best reading ever of 2.7 points. It would appear that Trump needs to pull within the mid-2’s by Election Day to pass Biden and win by a nose. That is, if the bettors are right.

Of course, squeezing the gap to 2.5 points still assumes that the polls are way off, and that millions of voters are still too embarrassed to tell neighbors and pollsters they’re for Trump. Two highly respected prognosticators, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight and The Economist, put Biden’s likelihood of victory at 80%-plus, and reckon that the gamblers on the betting sites are now far overestimating Trump’s fast-fading chances.

The odds on Predictit show that Trump has gained recently in several states. He’s regained the lead in Florida that he lost on Oct. 1, and North Carolina has moved to even money despite a 2% Biden lead in the polls. A recent jump has given the president a commanding lead in Predictit’s futures market in Ohio, and his deficits are narrowing in Arizona and Wisconsin. Nevertheless, those wagering on Predictit still give Trump just a 35% probability of winning, little changed in recent weeks. That’s several points below his standing in the RealClear Politics readings.

Still, you need to give a lot of credence to folks who put their money on the line. In fact, you’ve got to be an odds-maker to decide who’s closer, the bettors or the experts like Silver and the Economist. My vote’s with the gamblers––who still give Trump a far less than 50-50 chance of winning. They just think getting close, though even that’s a long shot, may be enough to keep Trump in the White House.

More politics coverage from Fortune:



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United, Barca win as Champions League returns amid fresh breakaway plot


Britain’s Sky News reported on Tuesday that Solksjaer’s side and Liverpool are in talks with Europe’s elite clubs to join a new FIFA-backed competition that would reshape the game’s global landscape.

United declined to comment on the report and Liverpool did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Manchester United and Liverpool are the first English teams mentioned whenever talk of a European breakaway heats up.Credit:Getty

Citing unnamed “football industry” sources, Sky said more than 12 teams from Europe’s top five leagues – in England, France, Germany, Italy and Spain – are in negotiations to become the founding members of the new competition, dubbed the European Premier League, with a provisional start date in 2022.

The report added the financiers are looking to raise a $6 billion funding package to kick-start the new tournament.

Sky said FIFA, football’s world governing body, is working on a new format, which is expected to feature 18 teams playing fixtures during the regular European season before a knockout phase. Sky added that neither FIFA nor UEFA had commented on the story.

A FIFA spokesperson said in an emailed statement: “FIFA does not wish to comment and participate in any speculation about topics which come up every now and then and, for which, institutional structures and regulatory frameworks are well in place at national, European and global level.”

UEFA Champions League results

  • Zenit Saint Petersburg 1 Club Brugge 2
  • Dynamo Kyiv 0 Juventus 2
  • RB Leipzig 2 Istanbul Basaksehir 0
  • Rennes 1 Krasnodar 1
  • Lazio 3 Dortmund 1
  • Chelsea 0 Sevilla 0
  • PSG 1 Manchester United 2
  • Barcelona 5 Ferencvaros 1

UEFA reiterated its president Aleksander Ceferin’s opposition to any such Super League.

“The principles of solidarity, of promotion, relegation and open leagues are non-negotiable,” a UEFA statement said.

“It is what makes European football work and the Champions League the best sports competition in the world.

“UEFA and the clubs are committed to build on such strength not to destroy it to create a super league of 10, 12, even 24 clubs, which would inevitably become boring.”

Lionel Messi and Ousmane Dembele celebrate the latter's goal in the 5-1 rout of Ferencvaros.

Lionel Messi and Ousmane Dembele celebrate the latter’s goal in the 5-1 rout of Ferencvaros.Credit:Getty

The idea of a European super league has been regularly floated over the last 20 years, with UEFA always coming out strongly against it.

Elsewhere on the pitch, Juventus made a winning start as they defeated Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 thanks to a pair of classic poacher’s goals from Alvaro Morata in their Group G opener on Tuesday.

Juve coach Andrea Pirlo enjoyed his first win as a manager in Europe’s elite club competition, which he won twice with AC Milan during his playing days as a midfielder.

With Cristiano Ronaldo ruled out following a positive test for COVID-19, Dejan Kulusevski was twinned with Morata up front and Federico Chiesa created some early chances for the visitors.

A clever backheel by Aaron Ramsey set up Kulusevski and although the Swedish winger’s shot was saved, Morata was on hand to fire home the rebound and the Spaniard then stole in front of his marker to head home from close range in the 84th minute.

Juventus players celebrate Alvaro Morata's opener in the Champions League win over Dynamo Kyiv.

Juventus players celebrate Alvaro Morata’s opener in the Champions League win over Dynamo Kyiv.Credit:Reuters

The COVID-19-limited crowd roared on the hosts but Kyiv struggled to create decent chances on their return to the Champions League after a four-year absence as Juve comfortably closed out the win.

“The goal early in the second half helped us because we had more space afterwards,” said Juventus winger Chiesa. “We wanted this victory badly because it’s important to have a great start.”

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In Russia, a stoppage time goal by Charles De Ketelaere gave Club Brugge a 2-1 win at Zenit St Petersburg, while in Barcelona Lionel Messi opened the scoring from the spot in a 5-1 rout of Hungarian side Ferencvaros which saw Gerard Pique sent off in the 68th minute.

Ansu Fati, Philippe Coutinho, Pedri and Ousmane Dembele also scored for the Catalans while Ihor Kharatin pulled one back for the visitors on 70 minutes. His side had held out for almost half an hour before Messi’s spot kick and headed to the sheds 2-0 down at half-time.

Chelsea and Sevilla played out a scoreless draw while it was a 1-1 stalemate between Ligue 1 side Rennes and Russia’s FC Krasnodar.

Lazio had a 3-1 win over Dortmund, whose countrymen RB Leipzig beat Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 thanks to an early double from Angelino.

AP, Reuters

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IPL: Kings XI win thriller against Mumbai Indians after a double super over


October 19 (Sky Sports) – Kings XI Punjab came out on top at the end of an incredible Indian Premier League contest with Mumbai Indians which could only be decided after two Super Overs in Dubai. ScorecardIPL table

The teams could not be separated after 20 overs each, with England bowling all-rounder Chris Jordan run out trying to get back for two from the final ball in Kings XI’s original chase of 177.

Jasprit Bumrah then restricted KXIP to just five in the Super Over but remarkably Mohammed Shami kept Mumbai to the same total, again two were needed from the last ball but this time it was Quinton de Kock left short of his ground after a brilliant piece of work from KL Rahul behind the stumps.

Jordan kept Mumbai to 11 in their second Super Over, albeit that required a stunning piece of fielding from Mayank Agarwal on the boundary to deny Kieron Pollard a six from the last ball.

Chris Gayle then smashed Trent Boult’s first ball over wide long-on for six and a single next ball left Kings XI needing five from four balls. Agarwal finished the job with back-to-back boundaries to bring an historic day of IPL action to an end after three Super Overs across the two games.

The game started with Mumbai batting first and finding themselves in early trouble with Arshdeep Singh removing Rohit Sharma and Ishan Kishan as the defending champions slipped to 38-3 in the powerplay.

De Kock (53 from 43 balls) and Krunal Pandya (34 from 30) guided them out of trouble with the South African reaching his half-century before holing out off Jordan (1-32). His was the third wicket of another Mumbai slump that left them 119-6 midway through the 17th over.

However, some lusty hitting from Pollard (34no from 12), ably assisted by Nathan Coulter-Nile (24no from 12), took Mumbai up to a competitive 176-6.

Kings XI lost the in-form Agarwal early in the reply, bowled by Bumrah, before Rahul shared useful partnerships with Gayle (24 from 21) and Nicholas Pooran (24 from 12) to keep the IPL strugglers in contention.

Bumrah returned to remove Pooran and Rahul Chahar (2-33), having already dismissed Gayle, had Glenn Maxwell caught at slip for a duck to leave KXIP wobbling.

Rahul, the leading run-scorer in this year’s IPL, was looking imperious, though, and with the help of Deepak Hooda took his side into the final three overs in a strong position.

Rohit called for Bumrah again and his strike bowler did the trick once more, bowling Rahul (77 from 51) with a near-perfect yorker to swing the game back in Mumbai’s favour. It soon swung back, though, as Hooda and Jordan took 13 from the penultimate over from Coulter-Nile to leave themselves needing nine from the last.

A fortuitous Jordan boundary second ball, inside edged down to fine leg, made it Kings XI’s game to lose. As it was they stumbled to a tie. Boult had held his nerve to take it to the last ball and hit his yorker again, Jordan pushed it out towards long on but seemed to take a long route back for the second. It proved costly as the throw found De Kock’s gloves and he took the bails off with the England man inches short of his ground.

Mumbai stayed in the field to start the Super Over and it was no surprise that Bumrah took the ball. It was equally unsurprising that he found his mark with every ball, Pooran caught at backward point second ball and Rahul trapped lbw from the last. Just five runs conceded.

Mumbai walked off all smiles, the game was surely won. Not even close. Shami kept Rohit and De Kock to singles for the first three balls then nailed his yorker to Rohit for a priceless dot ball. A single left De Kock needing two from the last, he just got it past cover to seemingly secure victory. Instead the throw came in, low and difficult for the wicketkeeper to deal with but Rahul dived and flicked the ball onto the stumps to run out the diving De Kock by half a foot.

The laws dictate that a second Super Over requires a change of bowler and batsmen so Jordan took the ball for Kings XI with Pollard, perhaps surprisingly overlooked for the first one-over shootout, and Hardik Pandya in for Mumbai.

Jordan hit his yorker to start but two wides with a boundary, driven calmly through the covers by Pollard, in between put him back under pressure. He responded with another yorker and Pandya was run out coming back for the second to enable Pollard to keep strike. It almost worked as Jordan’s attempted yorker became a low full toss that the West Indian smashed towards deep mid-wicket.

Agarwal was there and jumped as the ball went over his head before somehow managing to claw it back into play, turning a certain six into just two.

Given how Gayle and Agarwal approached the Kings XI’s second Super Over, it may not have mattered but it was certainly a confidence boost and a blow for Mumbai.

The most significant blow was struck by Gayle though as he launched a full toss from Boult into the stands to start the 44th and final over of the match. A single gave Agarwal the strike and he thumped four over extra cover to level the scores, before striking the winning shot through mid-wicket next ball.

The victory keeps Kings XI’s hopes of reaching the knockout stages alive, while Mumbai miss the chance to reclaim top spot and stay second, behind Delhi Capitals.





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Melbourne Cup field, barrier and tips: Who will win in 2019?


We’ve taken the work out of picking a winner in the 2019 Melbourne Cup with likes/dislikes and verdict on every runner in the field – plus a bonus trifecta tip.

Good luck!

1. CROSS COUNTER (57.5kg)

The 2018 Melbourne Cup winner, Cross Counter is back to defend his crown.

Trainer: Charlie Appleby



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Ashleigh Barty invited to present premiership cup if Richmond Tigers win


Coincidentally Nankervis made his debut against Richmond in round seven, 1967, the last time the two teams played against each other in a grand final. It was Nankervis’ only match for the year.

Long road to the grand final

As soon as Northern Territory’s chief minister Michael Gunner made it possible for Victorians to cross their border, Lara Football Club president and Richmond fan Shane Bennett hatched a plan to get to this year’s grand final.

When Bennett’s friends and family heard he was going to combine some business with pleasure, their response was consistent and to the point.

“They thought I was mad but they’re not surprised I’ve come,” Bennett said.

Tigers fan Shane Bennett in quarantine in Darwin.

On Monday October 5, just days after the Tigers lost their qualifying final to the Brisbane Lions, Bennett entered the Howard Springs quarantine centre for 14 days in the hope Richmond would have won a spot in the Gabba grand final by the time he left.

Last Thursday he admitted to being “disappointed, actually really disappointed” when the Tigers lost the qualifying final but he had remained strong.

“I have taken a huge gamble and hopefully my Tigers get across the line on Friday,” Bennett said.

On Friday night he lay on his single bed inside the rooms built originally for workers on the Impex Gas Plant to watch Richmond play Port Adelaide before moving to the small porch outside his cabin for the last quarter.

“When the siren went I was shaking,” Bennett said.

On Monday when he was released a friend picked him up and they were heading for the Humpty Doo Tavern as he prepared to go to Brisbane later in the week.

“The guys I am meeting in Brisbane have suggested it is a pretty good idea if I have three days on the loose in Darwin before I get there after two weeks in quarantine,” Bennett joked.

Bennett, who played on the MCG for Richmond under-19s on grand final day in 1987, couldn’t have wished for a better grand final bill with his beloved Tigers and close-to-home Cats to battle it out.

“I think it will be an awesome game,” Bennett said.

Football’s cycle of life

When Sam Simpson lines up for the Cats on Saturday he will experience what his dad Sean did when he played for Geelong in the 1992 grand final – although he will be hoping for a different result.

But in a strange twist he should also add the Simpson name to the Gabba record books, as the father-son combination have firsts associated with the venue.

Sam Simpson in action against the Pies earlier this season.

Sam Simpson in action against the Pies earlier this season.Credit:Getty Images

Sam, of course, is playing in the first grand final at the Gabba. But few remember that Sean played for the visiting Geelong team in the Brisbane Bears’ first home game at the Gabba in 1991, when the club played four “test” games at the venue ahead of the redevelopment.

The only previous AFL game at the venue had been a one-off in 1981 when Essendon played Hawthorn as Victoria took the game north.

The senior Simpson, who turned 50 this year, grabbed 28 touches as Port Adelaide coach Ken Hinkley nabbed 14 disposals, helping Billy Brownless to 11 goals in a Geelong domination that included media personality Dwayne Russell.

Gary Ablett snr was not playing, having shocked football when he announced his retirement ahead of the 1991 season. He returned in round 13 that year.

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Bledisloe Cup 2020, Wallabies vs All Blacks: New Zealand media divided over Eden Park win over Australia, rugby news


And still, they proved nothing.

That is according to some voices across the Tasman that weren’t impressed by the result which gave New Zealand a 1-0 lead in the four-match series.

Watch every match of the 2020 Bledisloe Cup Live & On-Demand on Kayo. New to Kayo? Get your 14-day free trial & start streaming instantly

“The All Blacks have proven nothing and frightened no-one,” wrote Hamish Bidwell of RugbyPass.com.



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Leeds 0-1 Wolves: Win a ‘massive result’, says defender Conor Coady


Raul Jimenez (left) scored his third goal of the season for Wolves

Wolves’ win at Leeds United, which moved them into sixth in the Premier League, was a “massive result” according to defender Conor Coady.

After losing their first two games of the season, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side have now won their past three, although Coady said it was difficult to achieve this third victory, decided by a 70th-minute deflected Raul Jimenez strike.

“It was a massive result for us, we knew how tough it would be,” he said.

“They were fantastic last season and play at 100mph, but we stuck at our plan. It’s hard to get after them, you have to play with your brain.”

Although Leeds dominated the opening period, the visitors were in charge from the final minute of the half when Daniel Podence’s shot was saved.

“They were very attacking, we looked at that and then we got a bit of control in the second half,” Coady added to Sky Sports.

In only the second top-flight Elland Road meeting between these two famous old clubs since 1981, Wolves were well on top by the time Jimenez took the ball across field from the right flank after 70 minutes, before checking inside to shoot from the edge of the box.

Kalvin Phillips tried to block the Mexican’s effort but only succeeded in heading into the opposite corner, leaving goalkeeper Illan Meslier stranded and unable to stop Jimenez netting his third goal of the season.

Wolves thought they had scored earlier in the half when Roman Saiss lashed home Podence’s cross, but after taking guidance from VAR Michael Oliver, referee David Coote ruled it out for offside.

Though close, it was the right call. It certainly created far less controversy than the incident the pair were involved in on Saturday when – with Oliver in charge and Coote at Premier League HQ – they deemed Everton goalkeeper Jordan Pickford did not deserve a red card after injuring Liverpool’s Virgil van Dijk with a reckless challenge.

Reality check for Leeds

Leeds have enjoyed an excellent start to their first top-flight season since 2004 and victory would have taken them into third, but this first home defeat since February was a bit of a reality check for Marcelo Bielsa’s side.

The Argentine’s deep thinking about the game has turned the West Yorkshire side into a tactical conundrum.

At different times they can have three, four or five players in defence depending whether Stuart Dallas is pushing up the left flank or Phillips is dropping deep.

And as they did in their thrilling draw with Manchester City in their last home game, Leeds enjoyed long periods when they were the better side.

Patrick Bamford has a goal ruled out
Patrick Bamford has a goal ruled out for offside in the first half

Luke Ayling had a shot blocked by Max Kilman and Patrick Bamford got to Jack Harrison’s cross but was unable to turn his first-time effort goalwards.

They rallied after Jimenez had broken the deadlock and Pablo Hernandez did have chance to level, but the effort was blocked and with it went Leeds’ hopes of avoiding a second defeat of the season.

Wolves in transition

Wolves will be delighted at three wins from their opening five games, particularly as manager Nuno is in the early stages of revolutionising his team’s style of play, changing them from a largely counter-attacking unit into one that is comfortable in possession.

However, with three of his new recruits on the bench, including £35.6m teenager Fabio Silva, the indications are Nuno has not quite settled on his preferred use of the talents at his disposal.

A first-half possession statistic of 31% underlined Wolves’ labours, as did their return of zero shots on target before Podence drove the best chance of the opening period straight at Meslier with virtually the final kick before the whistle.

Jimenez’s forward partnership with Podence will be the key to Wolves’ hopes of progress as Nuno’s rebuilding work continues.

The Mexican remains one of the Premier League’s most feared strikers – only Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang have also scored 30 top-flight goals since the start of last season – and Podence is blossoming into a capable replacement for Diogo Jota.

‘They were so dynamic’ – reaction

Wolves boss Nuno Espirito Santo speaking to BBC’s Match of the Day: “It was a good performance with some aspects to improve. We were better in the second half, but at the start it was very difficult for us.

“They broke us, created chances, they were so dynamic. We had to adjust and be more clinical in front. The goal was fortunate but we had chances.

“There was a proposal from [former Arsenal manager] Arsene Wenger for daylight for offsides – VAR is fine margins and we want them to make good decisions. It is a challenge for referees to improve, to be better, be faster and let the game flow.

“Nobody likes to celebrate and then come back. VAR can go both ways, let’s try to help and make things better together.”

Leeds boss Marcelo Bielsa: “In the first half we should have established a difference. In the second half it was more even.

“We had the sensation that we could unbalance them. We created enough opportunities to establish a lead.

“I don’t think they were better than us, but they neutralised our game better. The game was very hard, very physical and there was a lot of interruptions.”

Jimenez hits milestone – stats

  • Leeds suffered their first home defeat in 12 games in all competitions (W8 D3), since a 0-1 defeat to Wigan in the Championship in February 2020.
  • Wolves have won four league meetings in a row against Leeds for the first time since February 1958 to April 1960 (a run of five).
  • Wolves have won three of their first five games (L2) of a top-flight campaign for the first time since 1979-80.
  • This was Leeds’ first home defeat in the Premier League since April 2004 (1-2 v Portsmouth).
  • Jimenez has netted 33 goals in the Premier League for Wolves, 11 more than any other player Steven Fletcher managed, while only Joao Moutinho has more assists (14) than the Mexican (13).
  • Max Kilman registered his first goal involvement in his 14th game for Wolves in all competitions.

What’s next?

Leeds next play in the Premier League at high-flying Aston Villa on 23 October (20:00 BST), while Wolves entertain Newcastle on 25 October (16:30 GMT).

Player of the match

KilmanMaximilian Kilman

Leeds United

  1. Squad number1Player nameMeslier

  2. Squad number5Player nameKoch

  3. Squad number2Player nameAyling

  4. Squad number15Player nameDallas

  5. Squad number21Player nameStruijk

  6. Squad number43Player nameKlich

  7. Squad number20Player nameRodrigo

  8. Squad number19Player namePablo Hernández

  9. Squad number17Player nameHélder Costa

  10. Squad number22Player nameHarrison

  11. Squad number18Player nameRaphinha

  12. Squad number23Player namePhillips

  13. Squad number7Player namePoveda-Ocampo

  14. Squad number9Player nameBamford

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  1. Squad number49Player nameKilman

  2. Squad number16Player nameCoady

  3. Squad number9Player nameJiménez

  4. Squad number7Player namePedro Neto

  5. Squad number11Player nameRui Patrício

  6. Squad number10Player nameDaniel Podence

  7. Squad number15Player nameBoly

  8. Squad number27Player nameSaïss

  9. Squad number28Player nameJoão Moutinho

  10. Squad number32Player nameDendoncker

  11. Squad number8Player nameRúben Neves

  12. Squad number37Player nameTraoré

  13. Squad number22Player nameNélson Semedo

  14. Squad number5Player nameMarçal

Line-ups

Leeds

  • 1Meslier
  • 2AylingBooked at 15mins
  • 5Koch
  • 21StruijkSubstituted forHernándezat 75′minutes
  • 15Dallas
  • 23PhillipsBooked at 61mins
  • 17Hélder CostaSubstituted forPoveda-Ocampoat 71′minutes
  • 43Klich
  • 20Rodrigo
  • 22HarrisonSubstituted forDias Belloliat 82′minutes
  • 9Bamford

Substitutes

  • 7Poveda-Ocampo
  • 10Alioski
  • 11Roberts
  • 13Casilla
  • 18Dias Belloli
  • 19Hernández
  • 46Shackleton

Wolves

  • 11Rui Patrício
  • 15Boly
  • 16Coady
  • 49Kilman
  • 22Nélson Semedo
  • 32Dendoncker
  • 28João MoutinhoBooked at 66minsSubstituted forNevesat 82′minutes
  • 7NetoSubstituted forMarçal de Oliveiraat 89′minutes
  • 27Saïss
  • 9Jiménez
  • 10Castelo PodenceSubstituted forTraoréat 65′minutes

Substitutes

  • 2Hoever
  • 5Marçal de Oliveira
  • 8Neves
  • 17Soares Silva
  • 21Ruddy
  • 37Traoré
  • 54Otasowie

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Home for van Gisbergen after Bathurst win


Bathurst 1000 winner Shane van Gisbergen will head home to New Zealand after claiming his maiden win at Mount Panorama.

The Red Bull driver delivered an emotional victory for Holden in the iconic Australian motoring brand’s last Supercars race before it is retired.

Van Gisbergen, who teamed with veteran Garth Tander, buried painful memories of near misses in finishing second in 2016 and 2019.

He won the championship in 2016 and claimed 39 career victories, but the great race had never gone to plan.

After being separated from his family during the COVID-19 affected Supercars season, van Gisbergen is just looking forward to returning home.

“Gave mum and dad a call (straight after the race) and they were pretty stoked,” he said.

“Those last 60 laps were flat out the whole way. It was tense but quite enjoyable.

“The car just got better and better throughout the day and the last couple of stints were really cool to drive.

“I’ve had some bad runs at Bathurst in the past, and today was all about making no mistakes.”

Van Gisbergen drove his victory lap with a Holden flag flying out of his Commodore in tribute to red lion supporters.

It was Holden’s final Supercars race in a factory capacity before it is retired by General Motors at the end of this year.

“We’ve been the factory team for the last couple of years, and to not have Holden support racing anymore is devastating, but to win the last Bathurst 1000 for them was something pretty special,” van Gisbergen said.

Commodores will still appear on the Supercars grid next season, just not in an official capacity.

But van Gisbergen’s Triple Eight team has already committed to racing in Chevrolet Camaros in 2022 when Holden vehicles are fazed out.





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CSK vs RR: Jos Buttler, bowlers guide Rajasthan Royals to seven-wicket win over Chennai Super Kings | Cricket News


ABU DHABI: Rajasthan Royals recorded a comfortable seven-wicket victory over Chennai Super Kings, riding on Jos Buttler’s unbeaten 48-ball 70 after their bowlers’ parsimonious display in the Indian Premier League here on Monday.
The win kept RR’s play-off hopes alive while leaving their beleaguered opponents on the verge of elimination.
RR restricted the three-time champions CSK to a modest 125 for five after being invited to bowl and then overcame the target in 17.3 overs, thanks to a 98-run fourth wicket partnership between Buttler and skipper Steve Smith (26).

It turned out to be an excellent day for Buttler, who sent back Faf du Plessis with an incredible catch earlier in the day.
Early wickets were the need of the hour for CSK while defending such a low total and the Mahendra Singh Dhoni-led side did exactly that by reducing RR to 28 for three inside five overs.

Ben Stokes (19) started on a bright note before inside-edging a Deepak Chahar delivery on to his stumps and an over later, Robin Uthappa was sent back by Josh Hazzlewood as the right-hander went for an extravagant scoop over wicketkeeper Dhoni, who was playing his 200th IPL game.
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After shining early in the tournament, Sanju Samson continued to disappoint with the bat, departing for a duck.
Buttler and Smith joined hands and played cautiously initially. While Buttler was the aggressor, Smith played the second fiddle in the partnership.

Opting to bat, CSK never got going and lacked the fire power to put up a decent score after being reduced to 56 for four in 10 overs.
Ravindra Jadeja top-scored for CSK with a 30-ball unbeaten 35 and skipper Dhoni made a run-a-ball 28 while adding 51 runs for the fifth wicket.
Jofra Archer (1/20) was terrific with the new ball but he would be disappointed with his outing on the field.
Besides Archer, the spin duo of Shreyas Gopal (1/14) and Rahul Tewatia (1/18) were economical in the middle overs, while young Kartik Tyagi (1/35) too was impressive.
Dhoni’s decision to bat first backfired as RR picked up wickets at regular intervals to make life difficult for CSK.
CSK lost the in-form Faf du Plessis (10) in the third over, caught by Jos Buttler off Archer and then an over later, Shane Watson was sent back by Kartik.
Opening the batting again, Sam Curran made 22 off 25 balls before being dismissed by Gopal.
After that, a lot depended on Ambati Rayudu but he too disappointed, perishing in the next over off Tewatia’s bowling as CSK slumped to 56 for four.
Dhoni and Jadeja tried their best to resurrect the innings and then up the ante, but it proved to be too little too late.
Dhoni was run out in search of a double in the 18th over.
Kedar Jadhav continued to struggle with the bat as RR bowlers didn’t give the CSK batsmen any leeway.





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Melbourne Cup 2019 tips: Kerry O’Keeffe prediction, who will win, favourite


For various reasons – mostly financial – I don’t punt much any more. But like so many I have an annual dabble on the Melbourne Cup.

My last success was Doriemus in 1995 … anyone can have an off two decades. I mean, that run of outs makes Dave Warner’s Ashes returns look prolific.

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CUP MAIL: WHY EVERY RUNNER CAN AND CAN’T WIN



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